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The Good, The Bad, The Chalk, The Pivot and The Sleeper - NORTHERN TRUST

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  • The Good, The Bad, The Chalk, The Pivot and The Sleeper - NORTHERN TRUST

    The Good, The Bad, The Chalk, The Pivot & The Sleeper

    The Good:
    • Justin Thomas (DK $11300, FD $11900, 12/1) - JT had less than average results, finishing T37 at the PGA Championship mainly due to poor putting performance. However, he continues to be elite tee-to-green especially on approach, gaining an average of 7.8 strokes T2G on the field over the last 5 events, including a win at the St. Jude, while losing strokes putting. If we get JT putting field average, he will compete for the win on Sunday.
    • Jason Day (DK $9300, FD $11300, 25/1) - Day has been on a heater since the restart due to finding life with his approach shots gaining 3.1 strokes over the last 5 events. His recent form is superb with four straight top 7s in his last 4 starts and resembles the Jason Day of 2015 when he was No. 1 in the world for a short time. He is always elite with his short game, and combining that with the new found approach skills, he could find his 13th win on the PGA Tour.

    The Bad:
    • Brooks Koepka (DK $9100, FD $11200, 22/1) - Koepka seems to be lost. This will be his 7th consecutive week playing golf and he has not been good. He has missed the cut in 3 of the last 6 starts. His knee has been a problem for him and had struggled with his short game. He is currently 97th in the FedExCup standings and will have to flip the switch on a bad knee if he wants to make it to East Lake. I’m not that confident.

    The Chalk:
    • Collin Morikawa (DK $10200, FD $11400, 20/1) - Morikawa is the hottest golfer right now with two wins (Workday and PGA Championship) in his last 4 starts in some tough fields. He has been elite from T2G gaining 5.6 strokes on the field over the last 5 events. He is a good fit for TPC Boston and has no problem taking on elite golfers.

    The Pivot:
    • Dustin Johnson (DK $10400, FD $11600, 16/1) from Morikawa. Despite a rocky start to restart, DJ has been trending up since missing the cut at the Memorial. He finished well at the PGA Championship with a T2 and had a solid all-around game. He has been gaining 4.1 strokes on the field T2G in his last 5 starts and has been putting better. He is $200 more expensive but will be likely at half the ownership of Morikawa.

    The Sleeper:
    • Brendan Steele (DK $6800, FD $8400, 160/1) - Steele has been playing well in his last 4 starts and has also been trending upward, including a T22 at the PGA Championship. He has been great with his irons and has averaged 2.4 strokes gained on approach in his last five starts. Although missing the cut in 2018, he has made the cut at TPC Boston from 2014 to 2017. At only $6800, Steele only needs to finish T40 or better to make value which he is capable of. A good salary saver at likely sub-10% ownership.

  • #2
    The NORTHERN TRUST - (8/20-8/23)
    Golfer DK Salary AvgOwn% Pos DK Pts Value
    The Good Thomas 11300 7.35 49 73.5 6.50
    Day 9300 22.36 MC 26.5 2.85
    The Bad Koepka 9100 0.27 WD 0.0 0.00
    The Chalk Morikawa 10200 12.93 MC 28.0 2.75
    The Pivot D. Johnson 10400 7.04 1 172.0 16.54
    The Sleeper Steele 6800 2.98 44 78.0 11.47